Missy's Real Estate News

Mortgage Defaults - A New Stealth Stimulus?
December 11th, 2009 1:19 PM
Defaults Could End Up Being a Boon
The increasing willingness to abandon home ownership in favor of renting could, in a counterintuitive way, be an important step in the economic recovery, some analysts say.

The U.S. home ownership rate has declined to 67.6 percent as of September, down from its peak of 69.2 percent in 2004. Much of the reason for this decline is the number of foreclosures.

Deutsche Bank Securities expects 21 million U.S. households to be underwater by the end of 2010. If 20 percent of these homeowners default, loses to banks and investors could exceed $400 billion.

While these losses are definitely bad for banks, relief from paying a mortgage makes more money available—an estimated $5 billion a month—for consumers to purchase other things.

"It's a stealth stimulus," says Christopher Thornberg of Beacon Economics, a consulting firm specializing in real estate. "The quicker these people shed their debts, the faster the economy is going to heal and move forward again."

Source: The Wall Street Journal, Mark Whitehouse (12/10/2009)

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Making an Offer on a Short Sale? What You Need to Know
December 30th, 2009 10:07 AM
Making an Offer on a Short Sale? What You Need to Know

Are you looking to buy a new home? Are you thinking that now's a great time to find bargains? Before you make an offer, it pays to know a little about the seller's situation.

If a home is being sold for below what the current seller owes on the property—and the seller does not have other funds to make up the difference at closing—the sale is considered a short sale. Many more home owners are finding themselves in this situation due to a number of factors, including job losses, aggressive borrowing against their home in the days of easy credit, and declining home values in a slower real estate market.

A short sale is different from a foreclosure, which is when the seller's lender has taken title of the home and is selling it directly. Homeowners often try to accomplish a short sale in order to avoid foreclosure. But a short sale holds many potential pitfalls for buyers. Know the risks before you pursue a short-sale purchase.

You're a good candidate for a short-sale purchase if:

  • You're very patient. Even after you come to agreement with the seller to buy a short-sale property, the seller’s lender (or lenders, if there is more than one mortgage) has to approve the sale before you can close. When there is only one mortgage, short-sale experts say lender approval typically takes about two months. If there is more than one mortgage with different lenders, it can take four months or longer for the lenders to approve the sale.
  • Your financing is in order. Lenders like cash offers. But even if you can’t pay all cash for a short-sale property, it’s important to show you are well qualified and your financing is set. If you're preapproved, have a large down payment, and can close at any time, your offer will be viewed more favorably than that of a buyer whose financing is less secure.
  • You don’t have any contingencies. If you have a home to sell before you can close on the purchase of the short-sale property—or you need to be in your new home by a certain time—a short sale may not be for you. Lenders like no-contingency offers and flexible closing terms.

If you're serious about purchasing a short-sale property, it's important for you to have expert assistance. Here are some people you want to work with:

  • Experienced real estate attorney. Only about two out of five short sales are approved by lenders. But a good real estate attorney who's knowledgeable about the short-sale process will increase your chances getting an approved contract. Also, if you want any provisions or very specialized language written into the purchase contract, a real estate attorney is essential throughout the negotiation.
  • A qualified real estate professional.* You may have a close friend or relative in real estate, but if that person doesn’t know anything about short sales, working with him or her may hurt your chances of a successful closing. Interview a few practitioners and ask them how many buyers they've represented in a short sale and, of those, how many have successfully closed. A qualified real estate professional will be able to show you short-sale homes, help negotiate the purchase when you find the property you want to buy, and smooth communications with the lender. (All MLSs permit, and some now require, special notations to indicate that a listing is a short sale. There also are certain phrases you can watch for, such as “lender approval required.”)
  • Title officer. It’s a good idea to have a title officer do an initial title search on a short-sale property to see all the liens attached to the property. If there are multiple lien holders (e.g., second or third mortgage or lines of credit, real estate tax lien, mechanic’s lien, homeowners association lien, etc.), it's much tougher to get that short sale contract to the closing table. Any of the lien holders could put a kink in the process even after you’ve waited for months for lender approval. If you don’t know a title officer, your real estate attorney or real estate professional should be able to recommend a few.

Some of the other risks faced by buyers of short-sale properties include:

  • Potential for rejection. Lenders want to minimize their losses as much as possible. If you make an offer tremendously lower than the fair market value of the home, chances are that your offer will be rejected and you’ll have wasted months. Or the lender could make a counteroffer, which will lengthen the process.
  • Bad terms. Even when a lender approves a short sale, it could require that the sellers sign a promissory note to repay the deficient amount of the loan, which may not be acceptable to some financially desperate sellers. In that case, the sellers may refuse to go through with the short sale. Lenders also can change any of the terms of the contract that you’ve already negotiated, which may not be agreeable to you.
  • No repairs or repair credits. You will most likely be asked to take the property “as is.” Lenders are already taking a loss on the property and may not agree to requests for repair credits.

The risks of a short sale are considerable. But if you have the time, patience, and iron will to see it through, a short sale can be a win-win for you and the sellers.

* Not all real estate practitioners are REALTORS®. A REALTOR® is a member of the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® and is bound by NAR’s strict code of ethics.

 Note: This article provides general information only. Information is not provided as advice for a specific matter. Laws vary from state to state. For advice on a specific matter, consult your attorney or CPA. 


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Home Buyer Tax Credit Could Be Renewed Again
December 29th, 2009 12:15 PM

Will the housing tax credit be extended again – past the current April 30 deadline?

Sen. Johnny Isakson, a Georgia Republican and former real estate practitioner, swore in October that there would be no more extensions, but some observers predict that the answer is yes.

Jaret Seiberg, a managing director at research firm Concept Capital, predicts that Congress will choose to phase the credit out over six to 12 months. “We believe a phase-out is most likely because it would benefit housing markets but let Democrats argue they are fiscally responsible because they have designed an exit strategy that weans consumers off the subsidy,” she says.

Source: The Wall Street Journal, James R. Hagerty (12/23/2009) via Realtor.org

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Interest Rates Predicted to Rise
December 28th, 2009 11:40 AM

Interest Rates Predicted to Reach 6%


Interest rates are likely to rise to 6 percent by the end of 2010, predicted Amy Crews Cutts, deputy chief economist at Freddie Mac.

The end of the Federal Reserve program that buys mortgage-backed securities will drive rates higher because private buyers will demand more return than the Fed.

"Extraordinary resources have been put into keeping the rates down and supporting the mortgage markets and it's hard to imagine that the rates can go much lower than they are," Crews Cutts said. "Anything we get at or below 5 percent is a gift at this point."

Source: Washington Post, Dina ElBoghdady (12/26/2009)


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The Basics - Extended Home Buyer Tax Credit 2009/2010
December 28th, 2009 8:10 AM

The Basics: Extended Home Buyer Tax Credit 2009/2010

Bringing the Dream of Homeownership Within Reach

As part of its plan to stimulate the U.S. housing market and address the economic challenges facing our nation, Congress has passed new legislation that:

  • Extends the First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit of up to $8,000 to first-time home buyers until April 30, 2010.
  • Expands the credit to grant up to $6,500 credit to current home owners purchasing a new or existing home between November 7, 2009 and April 30, 2010.

Here is more information about how the Extended Home Buyer Tax Credit can help prospective home buyers become part of the American dream. If you have specific questions or need additional information, please contact a tax professional or the Internal Revenue Service

Who Qualifies for the Extended Credit?

  • First-time home buyers who purchase homes between November 7, 2009 and April 30, 2010.
  • Current home owners purchasing a home between November 7, 2009 and April 30, 2010, who have used the home being sold or vacated as a principal residence for five consecutive years within the last eight.

To qualify as a “first-time home buyer” the purchaser or his/her spouse may not have owned a residence during the three years prior to the purchase.

If you or your client purchased a home between January 1, 2009 and November 6, 2009, please see: 2009 First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit.

Which Properties Are Eligible?

The Extended Home Buyer Tax Credit may be applied to primary residences, including: single-family homes, condos, townhomes, and co-ops.

How Much Is Available?

The maximum allowable credit for first-time home buyers is $8,000.

The maximum allowable credit for current homeowners is $6,500.

How is a Buyer's Credit Amount Determined?

Each home buyer’s tax credit is determined by two additional factors:

  1. The price of the home.
  2. The buyer's income.

Price

Under the Extended Home Buyer Tax Credit, credit may only be awarded on homes purchased for $800,000 or less.

Buyer Income

Under the Extended Home Buyer Tax Credit, which is effective on November 7, 2009,  single buyers with incomes up to $125,000 and married couples with incomes up to $225,000—may receive the maximum tax credit.

These income limits have changed from the 2009 First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit limits. If you or your client purchased a home between January 1, 2009 and November 6, 2009, please see 2009 First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit.

If the Buyer(s)’ Income Exceeds These Limits, Can He/She Still Get a Credit?

Yes, some buyers may still be eligible for the credit.

The credit decreases for buyers who earn between $125,000 and $145,000 for single buyers and between $225,000 and $245,000 for home buyers filing jointly. The amount of the tax credit decreases as his/her income approaches the maximum limit. Home buyers earning more than the maximum qualifying income—over $145,000 for singles and over $245,000 for couples are not eligible for the credit.

Can a Buyer Still Qualify If He/She Closes After April 30, 2010?

Under the Extended Home Buyer Tax Credit, as long as a written binding contract to purchase is in effect on April 30, 2010, the purchaser will have until July 1, 2010 to close.

Will the Tax Credit Need to Be Repaid?

No. The buyer does not need to repay the tax credit, if he/she occupies the home for three years or more. However, if the property is sold during this three-year period, the full amount credit will be recouped on the sale.

 

 "Copyright National Association of REALTORS®, Reprinted with permission." 


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Housing Outlook for November 2009
December 22nd, 2009 11:33 AM

Economists' Commentary: EHS for November

December 22, 2009

By Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist

NAR Chief Economist Lawrence YunSales surged by a whopping 44 percent this November compared to November 2008, led by first time home buyers taking advantage of the tax credit. More than half of the buyers in November were first time buyers. The recovery was fairly broad-based, but was particularly strong in the Northeast and Midwest regions. The inventory got trimmed further and at the current sales pace it would take 6.5 months to exhaust the inventory. As a result home values are showing signs of stabilization. The national median existing home price in November was $172,600, which is a decline of 4.3 percent from one year ago. It is the smallest decline in two years. In the Midwest, where there were no house price bubbles to begin with, home values appear to have already stabilized.

As stated, nearly all local markets experienced a solid sales gain from one year ago. There were exceptions, however: San Diego, Riverside, and Sacramento, where reports of severe inventory shortages of lower-priced homes have limited transactions - not because of lack of demand.

Many continue to be drawn to deeply-discounted, foreclosed properties. Distressed sales (i.e. those that are either short sales or foreclosed sales) made up 33 percent of all sales in November. I do expect foreclosures to be just as high in 2010 as we experienced in 2009, so the distressed sales could remain roughly at 30 percent in 2010. All-cash purchases made up 19 percent of sales, which is about double the normal levels.

All detailed data tables can be found here >

One item to be cautious of in interpreting the data is on the inventory front. Inventory supply at 6.5 months would be considered balanced. However, let's keep in mind that the exceptionally higher sales pace in November drove the months' supply down and not from any significant reduction in the number of homes for sale in the market. There are still 3.5 million homes on the market. We could easily re-experience an 8 month or higher supply in the upcoming months when sales are expected to be measurably lower. The perceived ending of the tax credit deadline in November had induced buyers to sprint. But now, with the deadline being extended to the middle of next year (contract signings by the end of April and closings by the end of June) and to many qualifying move-up buyers, there will be another surge in sales in late spring and early summer of next year. The hope is that by then the inventory will have shrunk sufficiently such that home values will show consistent stabilization or even a modest increase. The self-sustaining recovery will then be in place as consumers will no longer postpone purchase decisions based on potential price decline fears.

An estimated 2.0 million first-time buyers have taken advantage of the $8,000 tax credit from February to November. Now with the tax credit extended till the middle of next year and also available to move-up buyers, I anticipate an additional 2.4 million home buyers qualifying for the tax credit. In total 4.4 million American households are expected to have benefited from the home buyer tax credit before the program ends in June 2010.

Be mindful that mortgage rates will no longer be at rock-bottom rates and will be higher in 2010. However, the anticipated turnaround in the job market and rising confidence regarding the housing market outlook will keep the housing recovery momentum intact even as the tax credit is no longer in play from the second half of next year.

My Christmas wish is for the housing market to return to normal, without the exuberance or panic and overcorrection. In short, I want the housing market to be boring again. Boring in terms of housing being a place to live and raise a family and a source of steady long-term wealth accumulation. To get there, the real estate profession should encourage home buyers not to overstretch and stay well-within their budget. Successful homeownership is good for families, communities, and the country. We do not want to ever experience another episode of the unsustainable homeownership growth that eventually leads to foreclosures.


"Copyright National Association of REALTORS®, Reprinted with permission." 

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Green Builders Awaiting the Green
December 19th, 2009 10:37 AM

The nation's green-building industry is awaiting billions of dollars in economic-stimulus funding earmarked to make government buildings more energy efficient. But based on the slow pace of allocations thus far, it could take months or years for spending to trickle down to contractors.

The General Services Administration, which oversees the federal government's property, was allocated $5.5 billion as part of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act passed by Congress in February, of which $2 billion should be allocated before Dec. 31. The initiative is designed to create jobs and to pioneer cutting-edge technology in construction that is environmentally friendly.

At a time when construction on private projects has stalled, advocates of green building hope the GSA, which is America's largest landlord with a 1,500-building portfolio, can use its purchasing power and nationwide reach to lower costs, test emerging products and educate the industry.

The value of having the government lead the industry on such projects "is priceless," said Jason Hartke, vice president of national policy for the U.S. Green Building Council, a nonprofit advocacy organization.

Leah Nash for The Wall Street Journal

The Edith-Green Wendell Wyatt Building in Portland, Ore., is set for a new exterior "skin" that will make it more energy efficient, including 20,000 solar cells and a series of vegetation fins along one side.

But so far, the agency has allocated just $1.5 billion, or 75%, of the funds it was appropriated for 2009 and is racing to allot an additional $500 million by the end of the year, just two weeks away. The agency said bids for work are coming in under budget, a good thing, but one that slows them down from meeting its benchmark.

In addition, the GSA has paid out only $89 million. "What we've got now is a lot of architects working overtime to get the work done," said Bob Peck, the agency's commissioner of public buildings. Mr. Peck said the delay in spending reflects the long lead time required to draw up building plans, which can take a minimum of six to nine months.

Economists said the delays in putting the funds to work illustrate the challenges of trying to quickly create new jobs in an industry that traditionally moves slowly. And government planners tend to move more slowly than private industry, according to developers.

"Obviously, [the funds] would have to be outlaid for it to create jobs," said Kermit Baker, chief economist for the American Institute of Architects. "But once [companies] feel that money is coming through the pipeline, it'll have a dramatic effect."

The projects that are furthest along are those that already were in the works, but on hold due to lack of funding. For example, the agency broke ground on a federal courthouse in Austin, Texas, in September. Planning began eight years ago.

Some projects also are complex, requiring long planning periods. The central federal office in Portland, Ore., the Edith Green-Wendell Wyatt Building, was allocated $133 million to modernize the 30-year-old, 510,000-square-foot building, including a daylight-adaptive lighting system that will reduce consumption 50%; and new mechanical, electrical and elevator systems. The GSA plans to hire a construction manager to begin drawing up blueprints in the next few weeks.

The design plan also calls for a new exterior "skin" that will have as many as 20,000 solar cells on the roof and a series of vegetation fins along the building's western side, which is meant to provide a natural solution to the problem of overheating from sunlight. The vegetation will grow lush in the summer, cooling the building. In the winter, the plants will shrink, allowing sun to filter in, Mr. Peck said. The technique has been used in Washington by the Finnish Embassy, he said.

Energy efficiency is in the spotlight this week as world leaders meet in Copenhagen to discuss climate change. Meanwhile, local governments are tackling the issue as well. Last week, New York, with the backing of Mayor Michael Bloomberg, passed rules requiring large commercial landlords to take steps to make existing buildings more energy efficient.

Green retrofits are gaining ground in the private sector as well, as companies realize they can save money long term. For example, Adobe Systems Inc. spent $1.4 million upgrading its San Jose, Calif., headquarters in 2006 and saved $1.2 million a year. Moreover, $400,000 in tax rebates allowed the company to make back its investment in just 9½ months, according to Buildings magazine. New York landlord Anthony Malkin, who is engaged in a retrofit of the Empire State Building, is set to give a presentation on energy efficiency in San Francisco next year.

A commercial retrofit should lower a building's energy costs by at least 15% in order to be financially viable for a landlord, some observers said. Typically, investors make back their money within four years, due to tax incentives and reduced maintenance costs. Commercial real estate accounts for about 30% of the nation's electricity usage.

Meanwhile, construction firms and architects suffering amid the dearth of private construction, hope to snag some of the government's business.

Emcor Group Inc., a $5.5 billion building-systems construction company, said it has managed to replace the roughly 15% to 30% of lost private construction business with public-sector spending on government buildings, transportation, schools and health care, according to Frank MacInnis, Emcor's chairman and chief executive.

Written By Christina S.N. Lewis at christina.lewis@wsj.com


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More Home Owners Walk Away From Properties
December 18th, 2009 10:44 AM
More Home Owners Walk Away
A growing number of home owners in Arizona, California, Florida, and Nevada—where prices have fallen the most—are walking away from their properties.

They are leaving the deal behind not because they can’t pay but because they don’t want to. A study by researchers at Northwestern University and the University of Chicago concludes that as many as 25 percent of defaults are driven by strategy, not necessity.

If many other people follow suit, “It’s going to be really difficult to prevent a cascade effect," says Paola Sapienza, a professor of finance at Northwestern.

Brent White, an associate law professor at the University of Arizona, points to actions by banks themselves to avoid staying in bad business deals as an example of why homeowners should make a decision "unclouded by unnecessary guilt or shame."

For instance, on Thursday, financial services firm Morgan Stanley announced that it is turning five San Francisco office buildings back over to its lender two years after it purchased them when the market was at its priciest. The buildings are estimated to be worth about half of what Morgan Stanley paid.

“This isn’t a default or foreclosure situation,” spokeswoman Alyson Barnes told Bloomberg News. “We are going to give them the properties to get out of the loan obligation.”

Morgan Stanley is apparently current on the loan, so this is what is known as a “strategic default.”

Some might ask: If strategic defaults are OK for banks, why aren’t they OK for ordinary homeowners?

Source: The Wall Street Journal, James R. Hagerty and Nick Timiraos (12/17/2009) and Bloomberg, Emily Friedlander (12/17/2009)

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Interesting Home Buyer Statistics
December 17th, 2009 2:28 PM

Home Buyer Statistics

While this data was compiled in 2008 and presented in 2009, I would expect to see some interesting changes in the upcoming report.  The information sources section, I believe, will have the biggest changes with more people utilizing online sources and drastically moving away from hard copy ads/data.  I have heard several numbers thrown around but none have yet to be confimed.  I would expect to see signifcant drops in these areas.  People are finding what they need online and they are also able to track the credibility of the information provided.

Active home search (median):

  • Number of weeks searched: 10
  • Number of homes seen: 10

First-Time vs. Repeat Buyers:

  • First-time buyers: 41%
  • Repeat buyers: 59%
  • Median age of first-time buyers: 30
  • Median age of repeat buyers: 47

Buyers who definitely would use same agent again: 70%

Actions taken as result of Internet home search:
 

  • Drove by/viewed a home: 77%
  • Walked through a home viewed online: 63%
  • Found agent used to search/buy home: 27%

Information sources used in home search: 

  • Internet: 87%
  • Real estate agent: 85%
  • Yard sign: 62%
  • Open house: 48%
  • Newspaper ad: 47%
  • Home book or magazine: 30%

Source: 2008 National Association of REALTORS® Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers


 

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4,000 Potential At Risk Citi Home Owners Getting A Holiday Break
December 17th, 2009 9:48 AM

Citi's holiday treat: No foreclosures for a month

By Hibah Yousuf, staff reporter

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Citigroup will suspend foreclosures and evictions for 30 days, giving 4,000 at-risk borrowers a break during the holiday season, the company said Thursday.

The New York-based bank said distressed homeowners with first mortgage loans owned by CitiMortgage or CityFinancial North America who also meet certain other criteria will not be subject to foreclosure sales or notifications between Dec. 18 and Jan. 17.

We hope that with this suspension we can make the holidays a little less stressful for our customers who are going through a very difficult time," said Sanjiv Das, chief executive of CitiMortgage, in a statement.

Citi (C, Fortune 500) said the suspension affects 2,000 borrowers scheduled to have foreclosure sales and another 2,000 that were to receive foreclosure notices during the period, which amounts to approximately 20% of the company's $746 billion mortgage servicing and lending portfolio.

Citi's existing Homeowner Assistance Program has helped 715,000 homeowners avoid foreclosures since 2007, the bank said. Through the program, Citi said it does not initiate or complete foreclosure sales on eligible borrowers who are seek to stay in their primary residences and have sufficient incomes to work with the bank to make mortgage payments.  To top of page


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Possible Changes Coming to FHA Mortgages
December 16th, 2009 12:19 PM

FHA Mortgage Insurance Program Important to Housing Market and Recovery, Says NAR

Lucien Salvant 202-383-1176 lsalvant@realtors.org

The Federal Housing Administration mortgage insurance program is a critical part of the American housing fabric and has never been more important than it is in today’s market, NAR President Vicki Cox Golder told a congressional panel today.

Testifying before the House Committee on Financial Services, Golder said that the FHA program is fiscally sound with responsible underwriting, and needs enhancements not radical reform. She urged Congress and the administration to tread lightly before making changes to a program that has a profound impact on economic recovery and serves the nation’s families.

“With the collapse of the private mortgage market, the importance of the FHA mortgage insurance program has never been more apparent. Thus far in 2009, nearly 80 percent of all FHA insured purchasers are first-time homebuyers. And if you take a closer look at the numbers, you’ll see that program is doing exactly what it was designed to do—make more affordable mortgage financing available to homeowners,” said Golder, owner of Vicki L. Cox & Associates in Tucson, Ariz.

She pointed out that this year almost 50 percent of non-white Hispanic borrowers used FHA insurance or the Veterans Administration’s loan guaranty for home-purchase loans and 21 percent used the FHA or VA program to refinance a home loan. Last year, more than 60 percent of home-purchase loans and about 45 percent of refinance loans to black homebuyers were insured or guaranteed by either FHA or VA.

“As the leading advocate for homeownership and housing issues, NAR knows that without FHA mortgage insurance, our housing market could never start to recover,” Golder said.

FHA’s decline in reserves is in part a reflection of a projected change in home price values, and is not tied to excessive increases in defaults or unsound underwriting practices, she said. In citing the recent FHA audit, Golder said, “If FHA makes no changes to the way it does business today, the reserves will actually exceed 2 percent in the next several years. FHA has sufficient reserves.”

FHA cash reserves and capital reserves give the agency combined assets of $30.4 billion—enough to pay all claims over a 30-year period. Most banks are required to hold reserves sufficient to pay only one year of claims. “Realtors® strongly believe that FHA is taking the necessary steps to assure its financial solvency,” Golder said.

“We look forward to working with the Department of Housing and Urban Development. We have confidence that FHA Commissioner Dave Stevens will do what’s needed to ensure the financial health and stability of the FHA fund. We encourage FHA to take steps that will have the least impact on FHA borrowers who are such an important part of our housing and economic recovery,” said Golder.

NAR strongly opposes H.R. 3706, the “FHA Taxpayer Protection Act of 2009,” which would increase FHA’s downpayment requirement. The bill would not add anything to FHA reserves but would put homeownership out of reach for many creditworthy borrowers.

“Realtors® believe that the best way to ensure FHA’s success is to strengthen it,” she said.

Golder also thanked Chairman Barney Frank (D-Mass.) and the committee for passing legislation to extend the higher loan limits through 2010, but urged the committee to make the higher limits permanent. “The higher limits are not just for a few states with high median prices. There are currently 245 counties in 28 states that have high cost limits—this is a national issue,” she said.

The National Association of Realtors®, “The Voice for Real Estate,” is America’s largest trade association, representing 1.2 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.

# # #

Information about NAR is available at www.realtor.org.

 "Copyright National Association of REALTORS®, Reprinted with permission."


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Remodel Projects Offering the Best Return
December 15th, 2009 11:40 AM
2007 Cost vs. Value Report

Remodeling magazine's annual "Cost vs. Value Report" shows exterior and replacement projects bring the biggest return.

Home rehabbers who are considering a move in the not-too-distant future should focus mostly on exterior upgrades. That’s the message from REALTORS® who participated in Remodeling magazine’s 20th annual "Cost vs. Value Report," done in cooperation with REALTOR® Magazine.

REALTORS® in 65 markets were given construction specs and costs on 29 upscale and midrange projects and asked to estimate the percentage return at resale.

Of projects that saw national cost recovery rates of more than 80 percent in 2007, only one — a minor kitchen remodel, with 83 percent of cost recovered — was a strictly interior job. The others were an upscale siding replacement using fiber cement materials (88.1 percent), a wood deck addition (85.4 percent), midrange vinyl siding replacement (83.2 percent), and upscale vinyl and midrange wood window replacements (81 percent and 81.2 percent, respectively).

On most projects, the value of remodeling trended down in 2007 compared with 2006. No project exceeded an 88 percent return. The likely culprits for the year-to-year drop: rising remodeling costs and slowing home appreciation brought on by the lackluster housing market in many areas.

The story was somewhat different in the Pacific region, however, where REALTORS® estimated cost recovery of more than 100 percent for six projects: a wood deck addition, a minor kitchen remodel, fiber-cement siding replacement, wood window replacement, and an upscale wood and vinyl window replacement.

Nationally, projects at the bottom of the cost-recovery ladder included home office remodels (57 percent), installing a back-up power generator (58 percent), and adding a mid-range sunroom (59.1 percent).

Put Costs and Values in Context

Looked at over a number of years, some projects appear to recoup considerably less than others. Home office remodels, for instance, have been at or near the bottom of the national averages since 2005 when the project was added to the survey. People investing in a home office typically do so to fill a specific need, such as to start a home-based business or telecommute. A prospective buyer with different space needs won’t see the value, regardless of the cost.

On the other hand, since minor kitchen remodels were added to the report in 2004, they’ve consistently ranked among the highest-value projects, according to practitioners surveyed.

When looking at cost estimates for individual projects, remember that averaging tends to have a leveling effect on job cost data. Also, seemingly small differences in project size and scope, or in the quality of finishes, can dramatically affect final project cost.

It’s also important to consider whether a remodeled space reduces the perceived number of rooms or available square footage. For example, carving a half-bath out of unused storage space under a staircase is an obvious gain in usable space. But converting an existing bedroom into a master bath, while a positive development in many respects, may reduce the number of bedrooms below the minimum expectation of some prospective buyers.

Similarly, the cost recouped on a given remodeling project depends on a wide variety of factors. These include the condition of the rest of a house, the value of similar homes nearby, and the rate at which property values are changing in the surrounding area. A home’s urban, suburban, or rural setting also affects its value, as does the availability and cost of new and existing homes in the immediate vicinity.

Finally, there can be wide regional swings. A midrange bathroom remodel recovers 85 percent of its cost in the South but only 63 percent in the Midwest.

Where resale value is a major factor in a home owner’s decision to remodel, the best course of action is to consult with a local remodeler about construction cost — and look closely at the comps and market conditions.

Survey Changes Affect Results

Some of the volatility in year-to-year comparisons results from two changes to the survey itself. The first is a general overhaul of the project descriptions and cost estimates, begun in 2006 and completed this year. These changes resulted in cost increases larger than would have resulted simply from rising labor and material costs, notably for major kitchen remodels, bath projects, and siding replacements. The construction costs are more accurate than in previous years, but they combine with slower home appreciation to create a lower percentage in the value column.

The second change began in 2002 with the introduction of higher-priced upscale versions of some projects. Although the range of costs thus created made the report more useful, it impacted year-over-year comparisons. While the trend of core projects turned down in 2003, the trend for all projects peaked in 2005 before turning downward.

As we continue to survey all 29 projects, we expect trend data to become more reliable. Until then, the most useful comparisons are of national data for single projects and of regional cost and value differences.

About the Survey

Construction cost estimates for the 2007 Cost vs. Value Report come from HomeTech Information Systems, a remodeling estimating software company based in Bethesda, Md., which regularly collects current cost information from a nationwide network of remodeling contractors and suppliers and applies an adjustment factor to account for regional pricing variations. Construction cost figures include labor, material, subtrades, and contractor overhead and profit.

Over the last two years, project specifications and estimating templates have been updated to clarify dimensions, modify material specs, and ensure that special requirements such as laying tile on the diagonal were properly accounted for. In some cases, this process resulted in prices that are higher than what would be expected from price inflation alone. Although such pricing adjustments affect year-over-year price comparisons, all of the values in the 2007 Cost vs. Value Report are based on the refreshed prices, which we consider to be more accurate than before.

For each project, the value data are aggregated from estimates provided by members of the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®. E-mail surveys containing project descriptions, construction costs, and median home price data for each city were sent to more than 100,000 appraisers, sales associates, and brokers. Survey respondents were asked to use this information to estimate the value that the remodeling projects would add to the house at resale in the current market, assuming that the project was recently completed.

The survey took place over eight weeks in July and August 2007. The survey was administrated by Specpan, an Indianapolis-based market research company specializing in business-to-business Web-based surveys.

For the national averages, the confidence level is 95 percent +/–2 percent based on 2,770 survey respondents. This means that 95 percent of the time, national averages for this survey will fall within 2 percent of either side of the results of this year’s survey.

 "Copyright National Association of REALTORS®, Reprinted with permission."

 


Posted by OwnAHomeSiouxFalls .com on December 15th, 2009 11:40 AMPost a Comment (0)

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Household Net Worth
December 14th, 2009 8:12 AM

Did You Know: Household Net Worth

December 14, 2009

By Danielle Hale, Research Economist

 

 

 

 

 

  • After seven consecutive quarters of decline, the net worth of households and non-profits increased for the second quarter in a row. The current net worth of households and non-profits is 53.4 trillion according to Federal Reserve Flow of Funds data.
  • This is a 5.3 percent improvement over the second quarter and a 10.2 percent improvement over the first quarter.
  • Net worth has improved as a result of declining liabilities (including mortgages), financial assets (particularly corporate equities and mutual fund shares), and tangible assets (including real estate for households).
  • At its peak, the net worth of households and non-profits was 66 trillion. Net worth is nearing its long-term average of nearly 5 times disposable personal income.
  • In the aggregate, real estate held by households has increased by $850 billion over the last two quarters.

 "Copyright National Association of REALTORS®, Reprinted with permission."


Posted by OwnAHomeSiouxFalls .com on December 14th, 2009 8:12 AMPost a Comment (0)

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New Lending Policies are Not Investor Friendly - Dec. 2009
December 11th, 2009 9:33 AM

Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac New Lending & Underwriting Policy Changes are Not “Investor Friendly”.

Real estate investors smacked with ever tightening underwriting policies — increased down payment requirements, and the like. As far as increased credit worthiness is concerned, most of us would probably lead that charge. When it comes to lending to an investor, it’s important they are not only relatively bullet proof credit wise, but that they have sufficient capital in the game.

Fannie and Freddie have increased the down payments to a minimum of 20% — plus they have to add in closing costs and an investor has $50-60,000 in a purchase of a $250,000 duplex. That’s plenty of capital if you prefer. This ignores the likelihood that the loan wouldn’t have been made but for a decent cash on cash return as perceived by the lender.

Better credit, more capital required, enlarged cash reserves, and must cash flow.

The latest round of Fannie/Freddie policy changes:

  1. Four property limit.

 

2.      Increased down payment, FICO score, and reserves for properties 5-10.

Those two alone plugged up the pipeline leading to recovery pretty effectively, but apparently not enough. They then turned up the heat and right at the point when cooler heads were most definitely needed. This of course conveniently ignores how those buyers of loans have, for the most part, studiously avoided buying ‘5th-10th’ loans. This has begun to change, but most lenders simply won’t or don’t wish to be in that market. Again, it defies logic.

  1. If an investor’s portfolio includes income properties owned less than two years, underwriters ambush them with the following newly invoked policy.

They take the year’s loan payments of each of those ‘bad’ properties and count them against the investor’s qualification. Now while most people would think that this is enough…oh no.  They then disallow the sinful property’s income. Imagine what this does to the buyer’s ‘back end ratios’.

  1. Freddie has now defined that first time investors, regardless of all the aforementioned underwriting improvements, must prove they have two years of management experience. This really seems like a huge oxymoron since they in name are defined as “First Time Investors”.

Imagine all the experienced investors with more than adequate investment capital, great credit, and more than sufficient cash reserves. Add the new first time investors who are just as well qualified financially. Now imagine all the properties those two groups would be buying today if not for some combination of the four mindless changes above.

Literally thousands of properties are going unsold as a direct result of these “new” underwriting policies. Properties sporting 4-10% cash on cash, 60-80% LTV’s, massive cash reserves, and maintained by folks with enough risk capital in the game to care big time. This will not help to fix the housing market.  It will only prolong any return to logical lending.

 

 

 


Posted by OwnAHomeSiouxFalls .com on December 11th, 2009 9:33 AMPost a Comment (0)

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Check out Missy's Blog at SixFeetofSiouxFalls.com
December 1st, 2009 9:08 AM

Posted by OwnAHomeSiouxFalls .com on December 1st, 2009 9:08 AMPost a Comment (0)

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